AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals, final 37–24

DETDETDetroit Lions37CINCINCincinnati Bengals24

Pregame first read

DET run defense has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #27/32 · DET run defense #3/32 · 95 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -6.5
Model total
52
80% range (CIN margin)
-19.3 to +14.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#30/32DET pass defense#24/32
  • CIN run game#27/32DET run defense#3/32
  • DET passing attack#6/32CIN pass defense#21/32
  • DET run game#6/32CIN run defense#18/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

CINCincinnati Bengals