AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens, final 44–10

HOUHOUHouston Texans44BALBALBaltimore Ravens10

Pregame first read

BAL run game has the stronger league profile.

BAL run game #2/32 · HOU run defense #25/32 · 112 offense / 113 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -4
Model total
44
80% range (BAL margin)
-9.2 to +24.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#11/32HOU pass defense#5/32
  • BAL run game#2/32HOU run defense#25/32
  • HOU passing attack#25/32BAL pass defense#22/32
  • HOU run game#9/32BAL run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

BALBaltimore Ravens