AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts, final 6–40

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders6INDINDIndianapolis Colts40

Pregame first read

IND passing attack has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #7/32 · LV pass defense #28/32 · 168 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -2.5
Model total
48
80% range (IND margin)
-10.3 to +23.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#7/32LV pass defense#28/32
  • IND run game#4/32LV run defense#5/32
  • LV passing attack#24/32IND pass defense#8/32
  • LV run game#31/32IND run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

INDIndianapolis Colts