AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers, final 24–27

MIAMIAMiami Dolphins24CARCARCarolina Panthers27

Pregame first read

MIA run game has the stronger league profile.

MIA run game #11/32 · CAR run defense #31/32 · 106 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIA -2
Model total
48.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-15.0 to +19.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#16/32MIA pass defense#31/32
  • CAR run game#18/32MIA run defense#29/32
  • MIA passing attack#23/32CAR pass defense#17/32
  • MIA run game#11/32CAR run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MIAMiami Dolphins

CARCarolina Panthers