AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints, final 14–26

NYGNYGNew York Giants14NONONew Orleans Saints26

Pregame first read

NYG pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #27/32 · NYG pass defense #13/32 · 200 offense / 213 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -2.5
Model total
45
80% range (NO margin)
-15.6 to +18.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#27/32NYG pass defense#13/32
  • NO run game#14/32NYG run defense#28/32
  • NYG passing attack#28/32NO pass defense#29/32
  • NYG run game#23/32NO run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

NONew Orleans Saints