AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams, final 26–23

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers26LALALos Angeles Rams23

Pregame first read

LA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #12/32 · LA pass defense #6/32 · 202 offense / 167 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -4.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (LA margin)
-8.5 to +25.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#7/32SF pass defense#7/32
  • LA run game#26/32SF run defense#21/32
  • SF passing attack#12/32LA pass defense#6/32
  • SF run game#27/32LA run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

LALos Angeles Rams