AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks, final 38–35

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers38SEASEASeattle Seahawks35

Pregame first read

SEA run defense has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #24/32 · SEA run defense #1/32 · 136 offense / 120 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TB -0.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (SEA margin)
-13.3 to +20.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#3/32TB pass defense#15/32
  • SEA run game#25/32TB run defense#6/32
  • TB passing attack#10/32SEA pass defense#12/32
  • TB run game#24/32SEA run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

SEASeattle Seahawks