AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Arizona Cardinals, final 22–21

TENTENTennessee Titans22ARIARIArizona Cardinals21

Pregame first read

ARI run defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN run game #32/32 · ARI run defense #2/32 · 120 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ARI -8.5
Model total
46
80% range (ARI margin)
-4.4 to +29.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#13/32TEN pass defense#23/32
  • ARI run game#8/32TEN run defense#32/32
  • TEN passing attack#29/32ARI pass defense#18/32
  • TEN run game#32/32ARI run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

ARIArizona Cardinals