AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 5 · Final

Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Chargers, final 27–10

WASWASWashington Commanders27LACLACLos Angeles Chargers10

Pregame first read

LAC pass defense has the stronger league profile.

WAS passing attack #22/32 · LAC pass defense #2/32 · 183 offense / 177 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -3
Model total
50
80% range (LAC margin)
-10.1 to +23.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LAC passing attack#26/32WAS pass defense#30/32
  • LAC run game#20/32WAS run defense#14/32
  • WAS passing attack#22/32LAC pass defense#2/32
  • WAS run game#3/32LAC run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

LACLos Angeles Chargers