AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 6 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts, final 27–31

ARIARIArizona Cardinals27INDINDIndianapolis Colts31

Pregame first read

IND pass defense has the stronger league profile.

ARI passing attack #19/32 · IND pass defense #4/32 · 178 offense / 190 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -3.5
Model total
50.5
80% range (IND margin)
-9.9 to +25.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#3/32ARI pass defense#18/32
  • IND run game#3/32ARI run defense#3/32
  • ARI passing attack#19/32IND pass defense#4/32
  • ARI run game#22/32IND run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

INDIndianapolis Colts