AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 6 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 9–23

CLECLECleveland Browns9PITPITPittsburgh Steelers23

Pregame first read

CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #21/32 · CLE run defense #1/32 · 100 offense / 120 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -3.5
Model total
41
80% range (PIT margin)
-9.7 to +25.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#13/32CLE pass defense#22/32
  • PIT run game#21/32CLE run defense#1/32
  • CLE passing attack#31/32PIT pass defense#25/32
  • CLE run game#14/32PIT run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

PITPittsburgh Steelers