AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 6 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers, final 27–30

DALDALDallas Cowboys27CARCARCarolina Panthers30

Pregame first read

DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #6/32 · CAR pass defense #20/32 · 207 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
55
80% range (CAR margin)
-13.2 to +21.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#27/32DAL pass defense#32/32
  • CAR run game#10/32DAL run defense#21/32
  • DAL passing attack#6/32CAR pass defense#20/32
  • DAL run game#6/32CAR run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

CARCarolina Panthers