2025 Week 6 · Final
Denver Broncos at New York Jets, final 13–11
Pregame first read
DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.
NYJ run game #23/32 · DEN run defense #6/32 · 133 offense / 105 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DEN -7
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -20.0 to +14.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBo NixDEN174 pass yds
- RushingBreece HallNYJ59 rush yds
- ReceivingEvan EngramDEN42 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#17/32DEN pass defense#7/32
- NYJ run game#23/32DEN run defense#6/32
- DEN passing attack#15/32NYJ pass defense#30/32
- DEN run game#13/32NYJ run defense#26/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DENDenver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · 5 games221pass yds/g
- J.K. DobbinsRB · 5 games80.4rush yds/g
- Courtland SuttonWR · 5 games73rec yds/g
- Troy FranklinWR · 5 games46.2rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Justin FieldsQB · 4 games189pass yds/g
- Breece HallRB · 5 games70.2rush yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 5 games76.4rec yds/g
- Mason TaylorTE · 5 games35rec yds/g