AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 6 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants, final 17–34

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #7/32 · NYG run defense #30/32 · 135 offense / 125 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -8.5
Model total
49.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-21.6 to +12.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#29/32PHI pass defense#9/32
  • NYG run game#23/32PHI run defense#15/32
  • PHI passing attack#23/32NYG pass defense#15/32
  • PHI run game#7/32NYG run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

NYGNew York Giants