AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 6 · Final

Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 20–12

SEASEASeattle Seahawks20JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars12

Pregame first read

SEA run defense has the stronger league profile.

JAX run game #7/32 · SEA run defense #2/32 · 135 offense / 122 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -1.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (JAX margin)
-14.4 to +20.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#22/32SEA pass defense#24/32
  • JAX run game#7/32SEA run defense#2/32
  • SEA passing attack#2/32JAX pass defense#3/32
  • SEA run game#28/32JAX run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

JAXJacksonville Jaguars