AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers, final 10–20

ATLATLAtlanta Falcons10SFSFSan Francisco 49ers20

Pregame first read

ATL pass defense has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #16/32 · ATL pass defense #4/32 · 216 offense / 144 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ATL -3
Model total
48.5
80% range (SF margin)
-15.9 to +17.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#16/32ATL pass defense#4/32
  • SF run game#26/32ATL run defense#27/32
  • ATL passing attack#21/32SF pass defense#22/32
  • ATL run game#11/32SF run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ATLAtlanta Falcons

SFSan Francisco 49ers