2025 Week 7 · Final
Carolina Panthers at New York Jets, final 13–6
Pregame first read
CAR run defense has the stronger league profile.
NYJ run game #29/32 · CAR run defense #3/32 · 124 offense / 102 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CAR -1
- Model total
- 51.5
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -14.2 to +18.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBryce YoungCAR138 pass yds
- RushingRico DowdleCAR79 rush yds
- ReceivingXavier LegetteCAR92 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#28/32CAR pass defense#27/32
- NYJ run game#29/32CAR run defense#3/32
- CAR passing attack#19/32NYJ pass defense#29/32
- CAR run game#3/32NYJ run defense#24/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CARCarolina Panthers
- Bryce YoungQB · 6 games192pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 6 games78.7rush yds/g
- Tetairoa McMillanWR · 6 games63.3rec yds/g
- Ja'Tavion SandersTE · 3 games30.7rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Justin FieldsQB · 5 games160pass yds/g
- Breece HallRB · 6 games68.3rush yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 6 games65.8rec yds/g
- Mason TaylorTE · 6 games29.5rec yds/g