AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks, final 19–27

HOUHOUHouston Texans19SEASEASeattle Seahawks27

Pregame first read

HOU run defense has the stronger league profile.

SEA run game #30/32 · HOU run defense #22/32 · 139 offense / 113 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -0.5
Model total
39.5
80% range (SEA margin)
-13.6 to +21.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#1/32HOU pass defense#2/32
  • SEA run game#30/32HOU run defense#22/32
  • HOU passing attack#17/32SEA pass defense#20/32
  • HOU run game#8/32SEA run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

SEASeattle Seahawks