2025 Week 7 · Final
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs, final 0–31
Pregame first read
KC pass defense has the stronger league profile.
LV passing attack #30/32 · KC pass defense #3/32 · 166 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -4
- Model total
- 46.5
- 80% range (KC margin)
- -9.2 to +23.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingPatrick MahomesKC286 pass yds
- RushingIsiah PachecoKC57 rush yds
- ReceivingTravis KelceKC54 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- KC passing attack#9/32LV pass defense#19/32
- KC run game#4/32LV run defense#8/32
- LV passing attack#30/32KC pass defense#3/32
- LV run game#32/32KC run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Geno SmithQB · 6 games225pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 6 games70.7rush yds/g
- Tre TuckerWR · 6 games59.3rec yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 4 games56.3rec yds/g
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 6 games252pass yds/g
- Isiah PachecoRB · 6 games35.7rush yds/g
- Tyquan ThorntonWR · 5 games54.4rec yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 6 games53.5rec yds/g