AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns, final 6–31

MIAMIAMiami Dolphins6CLECLECleveland Browns31

Pregame first read

CLE run game has the stronger league profile.

CLE run game #7/32 · MIA run defense #32/32 · 116 offense / 138 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIA -4.5
Model total
42.5
80% range (CLE margin)
-17.4 to +15.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#32/32MIA pass defense#30/32
  • CLE run game#7/32MIA run defense#32/32
  • MIA passing attack#10/32CLE pass defense#26/32
  • MIA run game#19/32CLE run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MIAMiami Dolphins

CLECleveland Browns