AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans, final 31–13

Pregame first read

NE passing attack has the stronger league profile.

NE passing attack #3/32 · TEN pass defense #28/32 · 148 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NE -6
Model total
42
80% range (TEN margin)
-19.1 to +13.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#31/32NE pass defense#21/32
  • TEN run game#22/32NE run defense#7/32
  • NE passing attack#3/32TEN pass defense#28/32
  • NE run game#30/32TEN run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NENew England Patriots

TENTennessee Titans