2025 Week 7 · Final
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans, final 31–13
Pregame first read
NE passing attack has the stronger league profile.
NE passing attack #3/32 · TEN pass defense #28/32 · 148 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NE -6
- Model total
- 42
- 80% range (TEN margin)
- -19.1 to +13.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingCam WardTEN255 pass yds
- RushingRhamondre StevensonNE88 rush yds
- ReceivingChimere DikeTEN70 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- TEN passing attack#31/32NE pass defense#21/32
- TEN run game#22/32NE run defense#7/32
- NE passing attack#3/32TEN pass defense#28/32
- NE run game#30/32TEN run defense#22/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NENew England Patriots
- Drake MayeQB · 6 games254pass yds/g
- Rhamondre StevensonRB · 6 games26.2rush yds/g
- Stefon DiggsWR · 6 games64.5rec yds/g
- Kayshon BoutteWR · 6 games50.2rec yds/g
TENTennessee Titans
- Cam WardQB · 6 games184pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 6 games60.3rush yds/g
- Calvin RidleyWR · 6 games48.3rec yds/g
- Chig OkonkwoTE · 6 games36.3rec yds/g