AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears, final 14–26

NONONew Orleans Saints14CHICHIChicago Bears26

Pregame first read

NO run defense has the stronger league profile.

CHI run game #24/32 · NO run defense #6/32 · 131 offense / 142 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -2.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (CHI margin)
-10.5 to +22.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#15/32NO pass defense#23/32
  • CHI run game#24/32NO run defense#6/32
  • NO passing attack#24/32CHI pass defense#16/32
  • NO run game#21/32CHI run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

CHIChicago Bears