AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

New York Giants at Denver Broncos, final 32–33

NYGNYGNew York Giants32DENDENDenver Broncos33

Pregame first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NYG passing attack #25/32 · DEN pass defense #5/32 · 173 offense / 185 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -4
Model total
42.5
80% range (DEN margin)
-8.8 to +24.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#12/32NYG pass defense#12/32
  • DEN run game#15/32NYG run defense#26/32
  • NYG passing attack#25/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • NYG run game#13/32DEN run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

DENDenver Broncos