AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings, final 28–22

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles28MINMINMinnesota Vikings22

Pregame first read

MIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

PHI passing attack #23/32 · MIN pass defense #1/32 · 167 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -4
Model total
48.5
80% range (MIN margin)
-16.8 to +16.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#22/32PHI pass defense#9/32
  • MIN run game#25/32PHI run defense#25/32
  • PHI passing attack#23/32MIN pass defense#1/32
  • PHI run game#17/32MIN run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

MINMinnesota Vikings