2025 Week 7 · Final
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals, final 31–33
Pregame first read
PIT passing attack has the stronger league profile.
PIT passing attack #13/32 · CIN pass defense #31/32 · 149 offense / 167 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PIT -3
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (CIN margin)
- -16.0 to +17.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJoe FlaccoCIN342 pass yds
- RushingJaylen WarrenPIT127 rush yds
- ReceivingJa'Marr ChaseCIN161 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CIN passing attack#30/32PIT pass defense#13/32
- CIN run game#22/32PIT run defense#14/32
- PIT passing attack#13/32CIN pass defense#31/32
- PIT run game#19/32CIN run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
PITPittsburgh Steelers
- Aaron RodgersQB · 5 games204pass yds/g
- Jaylen WarrenRB · 4 games46rush yds/g
- DK MetcalfWR · 5 games71.2rec yds/g
- Calvin Austin IIIWR · 4 games34.8rec yds/g
CINCincinnati Bengals
- Jake BrowningQB · 4 games189pass yds/g
- Chase BrownRB · 6 games33.7rush yds/g
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR · 6 games78rec yds/g
- Tee HigginsWR · 6 games36.7rec yds/g