AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions, final 9–24

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers9DETDETDetroit Lions24

Pregame first read

DET run defense has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #17/32 · DET run defense #4/32 · 138 offense / 113 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -2.5
Model total
53.5
80% range (DET margin)
-10.6 to +24.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#2/32TB pass defense#14/32
  • DET run game#11/32TB run defense#10/32
  • TB passing attack#7/32DET pass defense#11/32
  • TB run game#17/32DET run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

DETDetroit Lions