AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 7 · Final

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys, final 22–44

WASWASWashington Commanders22DALDALDallas Cowboys44

Pregame first read

DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #4/32 · WAS pass defense #25/32 · 208 offense / 165 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -3.5
Model total
55.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-16.6 to +16.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#4/32WAS pass defense#25/32
  • DAL run game#12/32WAS run defense#20/32
  • WAS passing attack#11/32DAL pass defense#31/32
  • WAS run game#20/32DAL run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

DALDallas Cowboys