AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 8 · Final

Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers, final 40–9

BUFBUFBuffalo Bills40CARCARCarolina Panthers9

Pregame first read

CAR run game has the stronger league profile.

CAR run game #4/32 · BUF run defense #23/32 · 157 offense / 134 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -2
Model total
50
80% range (CAR margin)
-14.8 to +20.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#20/32BUF pass defense#7/32
  • CAR run game#4/32BUF run defense#23/32
  • BUF passing attack#11/32CAR pass defense#21/32
  • BUF run game#3/32CAR run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BUFBuffalo Bills

CARCarolina Panthers