AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 8 · Final

Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens, final 16–30

CHICHIChicago Bears16BALBALBaltimore Ravens30

Pregame first read

CHI run defense has the stronger league profile.

BAL run game #27/32 · CHI run defense #4/32 · 110 offense / 128 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -2
Model total
49.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-15.1 to +19.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#25/32CHI pass defense#17/32
  • BAL run game#27/32CHI run defense#4/32
  • CHI passing attack#10/32BAL pass defense#26/32
  • CHI run game#19/32BAL run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

BALBaltimore Ravens