2025 Week 8 · Final
Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots, final 13–32
Pregame first read
CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.
NE run game #28/32 · CLE run defense #1/32 · 140 offense / 126 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NE -7.5
- Model total
- 41.5
- 80% range (NE margin)
- -5.5 to +29.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDrake MayeNE282 pass yds
- RushingTreVeyon HendersonNE75 rush yds
- ReceivingMack HollinsNE89 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NE passing attack#1/32CLE pass defense#8/32
- NE run game#28/32CLE run defense#1/32
- CLE passing attack#31/32NE pass defense#10/32
- CLE run game#17/32NE run defense#5/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CLECleveland Browns
- Joe FlaccoQB · 4 games204pass yds/g
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · 6 games77.8rush yds/g
- Harold Fannin Jr.TE · 7 games41.4rec yds/g
- David NjokuTE · 6 games37.2rec yds/g
NENew England Patriots
- Drake MayeQB · 7 games249pass yds/g
- Rhamondre StevensonRB · 7 games35rush yds/g
- Stefon DiggsWR · 7 games65.1rec yds/g
- Kayshon BoutteWR · 7 games50.9rec yds/g