AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 8 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos, final 24–44

DALDALDallas Cowboys24DENDENDenver Broncos44

Pregame first read

DEN run game has the stronger league profile.

DEN run game #7/32 · DAL run defense #28/32 · 132 offense / 146 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
50
80% range (DEN margin)
-12.9 to +21.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#14/32DAL pass defense#23/32
  • DEN run game#7/32DAL run defense#28/32
  • DAL passing attack#4/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • DAL run game#15/32DEN run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

DENDenver Broncos