AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 8 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 35–25

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #5/32 · PIT pass defense #16/32 · 164 offense / 236 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -1.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-14.5 to +20.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#9/32GB pass defense#19/32
  • PIT run game#11/32GB run defense#15/32
  • GB passing attack#5/32PIT pass defense#16/32
  • GB run game#6/32PIT run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

PITPittsburgh Steelers