AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 8 · Final

Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons, final 34–10

MIAMIAMiami Dolphins34ATLATLAtlanta Falcons10

Pregame first read

ATL run game has the stronger league profile.

ATL run game #5/32 · MIA run defense #29/32 · 146 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ATL -3.5
Model total
47.5
80% range (ATL margin)
-9.5 to +25.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#26/32MIA pass defense#27/32
  • ATL run game#5/32MIA run defense#29/32
  • MIA passing attack#21/32ATL pass defense#3/32
  • MIA run game#18/32ATL run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MIAMiami Dolphins

ATLAtlanta Falcons