AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 8 · Final

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals, final 39–38

NYJNYJNew York Jets39CINCINCincinnati Bengals38

Pregame first read

NYJ run game has the stronger league profile.

NYJ run game #20/32 · CIN run defense #31/32 · 123 offense / 149 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYJ -2
Model total
47
80% range (CIN margin)
-15.1 to +19.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#29/32NYJ pass defense#30/32
  • CIN run game#14/32NYJ run defense#14/32
  • NYJ passing attack#30/32CIN pass defense#32/32
  • NYJ run game#20/32CIN run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

CINCincinnati Bengals