2025 Week 8 · Final
Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs, final 7–28
Pregame first read
KC passing attack has the stronger league profile.
KC passing attack #4/32 · WAS pass defense #27/32 · 187 offense / 163 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -4
- Model total
- 50
- 80% range (KC margin)
- -9.0 to +25.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingPatrick MahomesKC299 pass yds
- RushingIsiah PachecoKC58 rush yds
- ReceivingTravis KelceKC99 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- KC passing attack#4/32WAS pass defense#27/32
- KC run game#7/32WAS run defense#19/32
- WAS passing attack#15/32KC pass defense#2/32
- WAS run game#13/32KC run defense#23/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
WASWashington Commanders
- Jayden DanielsQB · 5 games206pass yds/g
- Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · 7 games53.9rush yds/g
- Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · 6 games52.5rec yds/g
- Terry McLaurinWR · 3 games49.7rec yds/g
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 7 games257pass yds/g
- Isiah PachecoRB · 7 games38.7rush yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 7 games53.6rec yds/g
- Tyquan ThorntonWR · 6 games51.8rec yds/g