AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys, final 27–17

ARIARIArizona Cardinals27DALDALDallas Cowboys17

Pregame first read

DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #2/32 · ARI pass defense #22/32 · 173 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ARI -1.5
Model total
54.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-15.0 to +18.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#2/32ARI pass defense#22/32
  • DAL run game#16/32ARI run defense#5/32
  • ARI passing attack#19/32DAL pass defense#21/32
  • ARI run game#25/32DAL run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

DALDallas Cowboys