AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins, final 28–6

BALBALBaltimore Ravens28MIAMIAMiami Dolphins6

Pregame first read

MIA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #29/32 · MIA pass defense #18/32 · 154 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
51.5
80% range (MIA margin)
-13.3 to +21.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIA passing attack#20/32BAL pass defense#31/32
  • MIA run game#21/32BAL run defense#29/32
  • BAL passing attack#29/32MIA pass defense#18/32
  • BAL run game#18/32MIA run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

MIAMiami Dolphins