2025 Week 9 · Final
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers, final 16–13
Pregame first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #4/32 · CAR pass defense #31/32 · 169 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- GB -4.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -9.2 to +25.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB273 pass yds
- RushingRico DowdleCAR130 rush yds
- ReceivingRomeo DoubsGB91 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#4/32CAR pass defense#31/32
- GB run game#13/32CAR run defense#16/32
- CAR passing attack#25/32GB pass defense#19/32
- CAR run game#9/32GB run defense#17/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CARCarolina Panthers
- Bryce YoungQB · 7 games184pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 8 games75.6rush yds/g
- Tetairoa McMillanWR · 8 games64rec yds/g
- Brycen TremayneWR · 4 games27rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 7 games257pass yds/g
- Josh JacobsRB · 7 games63.9rush yds/g
- Tucker KraftTE · 7 games67rec yds/g
- Romeo DoubsWR · 7 games50rec yds/g