AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals, final 47–42

CHICHIChicago Bears47CINCINCincinnati Bengals42

Pregame first read

CHI passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CHI passing attack #12/32 · CIN pass defense #32/32 · 166 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -4
Model total
51.5
80% range (CIN margin)
-17.5 to +17.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#17/32CHI pass defense#9/32
  • CIN run game#2/32CHI run defense#13/32
  • CHI passing attack#12/32CIN pass defense#32/32
  • CHI run game#14/32CIN run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

CINCincinnati Bengals