AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 20–27

INDINDIndianapolis Colts20PITPITPittsburgh Steelers27

Pregame first read

IND passing attack has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #6/32 · PIT pass defense #23/32 · 170 offense / 239 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -8
Model total
51
80% range (PIT margin)
-21.6 to +13.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#13/32IND pass defense#16/32
  • PIT run game#7/32IND run defense#7/32
  • IND passing attack#6/32PIT pass defense#23/32
  • IND run game#1/32PIT run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

PITPittsburgh Steelers