AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans, final 27–20

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers27TENTENTennessee Titans20

Pregame first read

LAC run game has the stronger league profile.

LAC run game #3/32 · TEN run defense #23/32 · 124 offense / 145 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -8.5
Model total
44
80% range (TEN margin)
-21.9 to +13.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#31/32LAC pass defense#18/32
  • TEN run game#24/32LAC run defense#26/32
  • LAC passing attack#23/32TEN pass defense#29/32
  • LAC run game#3/32TEN run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

TENTennessee Titans