AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams, final 10–34

NONONew Orleans Saints10LALALos Angeles Rams34

Pregame first read

LA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #30/32 · LA pass defense #7/32 · 182 offense / 213 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -8.5
Model total
42.5
80% range (LA margin)
-5.2 to +29.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#7/32NO pass defense#14/32
  • LA run game#31/32NO run defense#15/32
  • NO passing attack#30/32LA pass defense#7/32
  • NO run game#26/32LA run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

LALos Angeles Rams