AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders, final 38–14

SEASEASeattle Seahawks38WASWASWashington Commanders14

Pregame first read

SEA passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SEA passing attack #5/32 · WAS pass defense #27/32 · 146 offense / 165 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -4.5
Model total
48
80% range (WAS margin)
-18.1 to +16.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#20/32SEA pass defense#17/32
  • WAS run game#18/32SEA run defense#1/32
  • SEA passing attack#5/32WAS pass defense#27/32
  • SEA run game#30/32WAS run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

WASWashington Commanders