AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 9 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants, final 34–24

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers34NYGNYGNew York Giants24

Pregame first read

SF run game has the stronger league profile.

SF run game #22/32 · NYG run defense #32/32 · 126 offense / 117 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SF -2.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-15.9 to +19.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#22/32SF pass defense#30/32
  • NYG run game#10/32SF run defense#4/32
  • SF passing attack#15/32NYG pass defense#10/32
  • SF run game#22/32NYG run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

NYGNew York Giants