2026 Week 1 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers, final 26–14

ARIARIArizona Cardinals26LACLACLos Angeles Chargers14

Pregame first read

LAC run game has the stronger league profile.

LAC run game #14/32 · ARI run defense #27/32 · 125 offense / 158 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: LAC -6
Model total: 44.5
80% range (LAC margin): -8.6 to +25.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingJacoby BrissettARI277 pass yds
RushingTyler AllgeierARI61 rush yds
ReceivingTrey McBrideARI95 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

LAC passing attack#26/32ARI pass defense#31/32
LAC run game#14/32ARI run defense#27/32
ARI passing attack#17/32LAC pass defense#14/32
ARI run game#7/32LAC run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

Not enough recorded games yet.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

Not enough recorded games yet.