2026 Week 1 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 10–34

CLECLECleveland Browns10JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars34

Pregame first read

JAX pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #30/32 · JAX pass defense #8/32 · 171 offense / 187 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: JAX -10
Model total: 43.5
80% range (JAX margin): -5.0 to +29.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingTrevor LawrenceJAX245 pass yds
RushingBhayshul TutenJAX66 rush yds
ReceivingParker WashingtonJAX83 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

JAX passing attack#1/32CLE pass defense#4/32
JAX run game#24/32CLE run defense#30/32
CLE passing attack#30/32JAX pass defense#8/32
CLE run game#13/32JAX run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

Not enough recorded games yet.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

Not enough recorded games yet.