2026 Week 1 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, final 20–28

DALDALDallas Cowboys20NYGNYGNew York Giants28

Pregame first read

NYG run game has the stronger league profile.

NYG run game #4/32 · DAL run defense #28/32 · 146 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: NYG -1.5
Model total: 51
80% range (NYG margin): -13.5 to +20.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingJaxson DartNYG230 pass yds
RushingCam SkatteboNYG81 rush yds
ReceivingIsaiah LikelyNYG78 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

NYG passing attack#21/32DAL pass defense#30/32
NYG run game#4/32DAL run defense#28/32
DAL passing attack#11/32NYG pass defense#11/32
DAL run game#12/32NYG run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

Not enough recorded games yet.

NYGNew York Giants

Not enough recorded games yet.