2026 Week 1 · Final
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings, final 22–39
Pregame first read
MIN run defense has the stronger league profile.
GB run game #27/32 · MIN run defense #3/32 · 135 offense / 146 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- MIN -2.5
- Model total
- 40
- 80% range (MIN margin)
- -12.3 to +21.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB387 pass yds
- RushingJordan MasonMIN59 rush yds
- ReceivingChristian WatsonGB147 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- MIN passing attack#16/32GB pass defense#29/32
- MIN run game#3/32GB run defense#20/32
- GB passing attack#5/32MIN pass defense#1/32
- GB run game#27/32MIN run defense#3/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
GBGreen Bay Packers
Not enough recorded games yet.
MINMinnesota Vikings
Not enough recorded games yet.