2026 Week 1 · Final
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams, final 27–7
Pregame first read
LA passing attack has the stronger league profile.
LA passing attack #5/32 · SF pass defense #24/32 · 205 offense / 162 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -1.5
- Model total
- 54
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -13.1 to +20.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBrock PurdySF205 pass yds
- RushingChristian McCaffreySF68 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA74 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#5/32SF pass defense#24/32
- LA run game#9/32SF run defense#26/32
- SF passing attack#13/32LA pass defense#20/32
- SF run game#12/32LA run defense#13/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SFSan Francisco 49ers
Not enough recorded games yet.
LALos Angeles Rams
Not enough recorded games yet.