2026 Week 1 · Final

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles, final 22–24

WASWASWashington Commanders22PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles24

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #5/32 · WAS run defense #32/32 · 160 offense / 155 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: PHI -5
Model total: 42.5
80% range (PHI margin): -10.0 to +24.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingJalen HurtsPHI203 pass yds
RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI83 rush yds
ReceivingDallas GoedertPHI77 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

PHI passing attack#12/32WAS pass defense#23/32
PHI run game#5/32WAS run defense#32/32
WAS passing attack#24/32PHI pass defense#9/32
WAS run game#18/32PHI run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

Not enough recorded games yet.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Not enough recorded games yet.